Investors in Asia Cement (China) Holdings (HKG:743) From Five Years Ago Are Still Down 64%, Even After 15% Gain This Past Week
Investors in Asia Cement (China) Holdings (HKG:743) From Five Years Ago Are Still Down 64%, Even After 15% Gain This Past Week
Asia Cement (China) Holdings Corporation (HKG:743) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 17% in the last month. But that can't change the reality that over the longer term (five years), the returns have been really quite dismal. The share price has failed to impress anyone , down a sizable 74% during that time. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. Of course, this could be the start of a turnaround.
亚洲水泥(中国)控股有限公司(HKG:743)的股东应该很高兴看到股价在上个月上涨了17%。 但这并不能改变长期(五年)内回报实际上相当糟糕的现实。 在那段时间内,股价未能打动任何人,下跌了相当可观的74%。 因此,我们不太愿意对近期增长放太多权重。 当然,这可能是转机的开始。
Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.
虽然过去一周股东的投资回报率有所缓解,但在过去五年中仍处于亏损状态,因此让我们看看这家公司的基本业务是否是导致下跌的原因。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
尽管一些人继续教授有效市场假说,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,并且投资者并不总是理性的。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价的变化情况,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度如何随着时间变化而变化。
In the last half decade Asia Cement (China) Holdings saw its share price fall as its EPS declined below zero. At present it's hard to make valid comparisons between EPS and the share price. However, we can say we'd expect to see a falling share price in this scenario.
在过去的半个世纪里,亚洲水泥(中国)控股的股价下跌,同时每股收益下降到零以下。目前很难在每股收益和股价之间进行有效比较。 但是,在这种情况下,我们可以说我们预计会看到股价下降。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面可以看到每股收益随时间的变化情况(通过点击图像来查看确切数值)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
我们很高兴地宣布,该公司的CEO获得的薪酬比同样规模的公司的大多数CEO获得的薪酬更加适度。但是,在购买或出售股票之前,我们始终建议仔细审查公司历史增长趋势,这些历史增长趋势可以在这里获得。真正重要的问题是这家公司未来能否增长收益。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Asia Cement (China) Holdings' TSR for the last 5 years was -64%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在观察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报率(TSR)与股价回报之间的区别。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而TSR包括分红的价值(假设已再投资)以及任何折让资本筹集或分拆的利益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。事实上,亚洲水泥(中国)控股过去5年的TSR为-64%,这超过了前面提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
Investors in Asia Cement (China) Holdings had a tough year, with a total loss of 3.8% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 22%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 10% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Asia Cement (China) Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
在过去的一年中,亚洲水泥(中国)控股的投资者遭遇了艰难,总共损失了3.8%(包括分红),而市场的获利约为22%。然而,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月的时间段内表现不佳。然而,过去一年的损失并不像投资者在过去半个十年中遭受的每年10%的损失那么糟糕。在我们能够充满热情之前,我们需要看到一些主要指标的持续改善。我发现长期观察股价作为业务绩效的替代物非常有趣。但要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。即便如此,请注意亚洲水泥(中国)控股在我们的投资分析中显示出了1个警告信号,你应该知道...。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜欢与管理层一起购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个公司的免费列表。 (提示:其中许多公司不为人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了当前在香港证券交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。