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CRRC (SHSE:601766) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

CRRC (SHSE:601766) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

中国中车(SHSE:601766)尚未加快其回报。
Simply Wall St ·  10/01 13:17

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating CRRC (SHSE:601766), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

如果您正在寻找一个能涨多倍的股票,有几个要注意的事项。一个常见的方法是寻找一家资本利用率(ROCE)不断提高,并且资本投入逐渐增加的公司。这表明该公司是一个复利机器,能够持续将其收益再投入业务并产生更高的回报。然而,在调查中国中车(SHSE:601766)后,我们认为它当前的趋势不符合涨多倍的标准。

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

资本雇用回报率(ROCE)是什么?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on CRRC is:

如果您以前没有接触过ROCE,它衡量的是公司从资本中获得的'回报'(税前利润)。在中国中车的计算公式是:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

资产雇用回报率(ROCE)是指企业利润,即企业税前利润除以企业投入的总资本(负债加股权)。如果ROCE高于企业财务成本的承受能力,那么企业就会创造出更多的价值。

0.071 = CN¥16b ÷ (CN¥479b - CN¥256b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

0.071 = 160亿人民币 ÷ (4790亿人民币 - 256亿人民币)(截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

Thus, CRRC has an ROCE of 7.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Machinery industry average of 5.5%.

因此,中国中车的ROCE为7.1%。就绝对值而言,这是一个较低的回报,但比机械行业平均水平5.5%要好得多。

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SHSE:601766 Return on Capital Employed October 1st 2024
SHSE:601766 2024年10月1日资本雇用回报

Above you can see how the current ROCE for CRRC compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering CRRC for free.

从上面你可以看到中国中车目前的ROCE与其以往资本回报相比如何,但过去仅能告诉你这么多。如果你愿意,你可以免费查看覆盖中国中车的分析师的预测。

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

尽管如此,当我们看 enphase energy (纳斯达克股票代码:ENPH) 的时候,它似乎并没有完全符合这些要求。

There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at CRRC. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 7.1% and the business has deployed 29% more capital into its operations. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.

有更好的资本回报率表现在那里,而不像我们在中国中车看到的那样。在过去的五年中,ROCE保持相对稳定,约为7.1%,业务投入的资本增加了29%。这种不佳的ROCE目前并未激发信心,而随着投入资本的增加,显而易见业务并未将资金投入高回报的投资中。

On a side note, CRRC's current liabilities are still rather high at 53% of total assets. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

顺便说一句,中国中车目前的流动负债仍然相当高,占总资产的53%。这可能带来一些风险,因为公司基本上是在与其供应商或其他类型的短期债权人的相当大依赖下运营。理想情况下,我们希望看到这一减少,因为这将意味着减少负担风险。

The Bottom Line On CRRC's ROCE

关于中国中车的ROCE底线

In summary, CRRC has simply been reinvesting capital and generating the same low rate of return as before. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 29% to shareholders over the last five years. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

总结一下,中国中车只是在重新投资资本,并产生与以前相同的低回报率。投资者可能已经意识到这些趋势,因为过去五年股票仅为股东带来了总共29%的回报。因此,如果你正在寻找翻倍以上的投资机会,我们认为你在其他地方可能会更幸运。

One more thing to note, we've identified 1 warning sign with CRRC and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

还有一件需要注意的事情是,我们已经确定了CRRC的1个警告信号,并且了解它应该是您的投资过程的一部分。

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group确实存在一些风险,我们已经发现了一条警示标志,你可能会感兴趣。对于那些喜欢投资于实力雄厚的公司的人,可以查看这个由财务状况强大、股本回报率高的公司组成的免费列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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