When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 34x, you may consider Anhui Xinhua Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601801) as an attractive investment with its 18.7x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Anhui Xinhua Media has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
How Is Anhui Xinhua Media's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Anhui Xinhua Media's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.5% decrease to the company's bottom line. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 12% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 15% per annum during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 19% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Anhui Xinhua Media's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Anhui Xinhua Media's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Anhui Xinhua Media that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Anhui Xinhua Media, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
