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Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Shunfa Hengneng (SZSE:000631) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years

Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Shunfa Hengneng (SZSE:000631) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years

過去三年來,秀髮恒能(SZSE:000631)股東儘管獲得了正面收益增長,但尚未帶來有利回報。
Simply Wall St ·  10/02 09:53

Shunfa Hengneng Corporation (SZSE:000631) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 27% in the last month. If you look at the last three years, the stock price is down. But that's not so bad when you consider its market is down 13%.

順發恒能公司(SZSE:000631)的股東應該高興看到股價在過去一個月上漲了27%。如果你看過去三年,股價是下跌的。但在考慮到其市場下跌13%時,情況就沒那麼糟糕了。

While the last three years has been tough for Shunfa Hengneng shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

儘管過去三年對順發恒能的股東們來說很艱難,但最近一週顯示出一些希望的跡象。因此,讓我們看看更長期的基本面,看看它們是否成爲負回報的原因。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

雖然市場是一個強大的定價機制,但股價反映的不僅僅是企業的基本業績,還有投資者的情緒。一個不完美但簡單的方式來考慮公司市場意識的變化是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的變化。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Shunfa Hengneng actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 23% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在不幸的三年股價下跌期間,順發恒能的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年提高了23%。這是個謎,表明可能有一些暫時支撐股價的因素。或者,以往的增長預期可能是不合理的。

Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

由於EPS的變化似乎與股價的變化不相關,因此值得查看其他指標。

Revenue is actually up 86% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Shunfa Hengneng further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

營業收入實際上在過去三年中增長了86%,因此股價的下跌似乎並不是因爲營業收入問題。進一步調查順發恒能可能是值得的;雖然我們在這個分析中可能遺漏了某些東西,但也可能存在機會。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。

big
SZSE:000631 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 2nd 2024
深證交易所:000631收益和營業收入增長2024年10月2日

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

資產負債表強度至關重要。查看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨時間變化的免費報告可能很值得一看。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Shunfa Hengneng, it has a TSR of -11% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要考慮股票的總股東回報率以及股票價格回報率。股票價格回報僅反映了股價的變化,TSR 包括股息價值(假定已再投資)以及任何折價的增資或分拆的好處。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR 往往比股票價格回報高得多。就順發恒能而言,過去3年TSR爲-11%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。這主要是由於其分紅派息所致!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

It's nice to see that Shunfa Hengneng shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 6.6% over the last year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 3% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shunfa Hengneng better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Shunfa Hengneng (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.

很高興看到順發恒能的股東在過去一年中獲得了總股東回報率爲6.6%。這已經包括了分紅派息。由於一年的TSR優於五年的TSR(後者爲每年3%),似乎股票的表現最近有所改善。在最理想的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務勢頭,暗示現在可能是深入了解的好時機。長期追蹤股價表現始終很有趣。但要更好地了解順發恒能,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。比如風險。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現了5個順發恒能的警示信號(其中有2個令人關注!)您應該知道。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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