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Sinomach AutomobileLtd (SHSE:600335) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Sinomach AutomobileLtd (SHSE:600335) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

中国机械工程股份有限公司汽车股份有限公司(SHSE:600335)在债务使用上存在一定风险
Simply Wall St ·  10/01 22:09

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Sinomach Automobile Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600335) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,国机汽车有限公司, Ltd.(上海证券交易所股票代码:600335)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会变得有风险。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是它必须以低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。在考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does Sinomach AutomobileLtd Carry?

国机汽车有限公司背负了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sinomach AutomobileLtd had debt of CN¥1.70b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CN¥3.60b over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥3.15b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.45b net cash.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2024年6月底,国机汽车有限公司的债务为17元人民币,较一年多的36元人民币有所减少。但是,其资产负债表显示它持有31.5元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有14.5元人民币的净现金。

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SHSE:600335 Debt to Equity History October 2nd 2024
SHSE: 600335 2024 年 10 月 2 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

A Look At Sinomach AutomobileLtd's Liabilities

看看国机汽车有限公司的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sinomach AutomobileLtd had liabilities of CN¥18.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.03b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.15b in cash and CN¥10.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥5.50b.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,国机汽车有限公司的负债为184元人民币将在一年内到期,在此之后到期的负债为10.3元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有31.5元人民币的现金和108元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额55元人民币。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Sinomach AutomobileLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥10.0b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Sinomach AutomobileLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

尽管这可能看起来很多,但还不错,因为国机汽车有限公司的市值为100元人民币,因此如果需要,它可能会通过筹集资金来加强资产负债表。但很明显,我们一定要仔细研究它能否在不稀释的情况下管理债务。尽管负债值得关注,但国机汽车有限公司拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

Shareholders should be aware that Sinomach AutomobileLtd's EBIT was down 70% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Sinomach AutomobileLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

股东应该意识到,国机汽车有限公司的息税前利润去年下降了70%。如果这种盈利趋势继续下去,那么偿还债务就像放猫坐过山车一样容易。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是国机汽车有限公司的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Sinomach AutomobileLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Sinomach AutomobileLtd burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。国机汽车有限公司的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该业务如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去的三年中,国机汽车有限公司烧掉了大量现金。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。

Summing Up

总结

While Sinomach AutomobileLtd does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥1.45b. Despite the cash, we do find Sinomach AutomobileLtd's EBIT growth rate concerning, so we're not particularly comfortable with the stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Sinomach AutomobileLtd (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管国机汽车有限公司的负债确实多于流动资产,但其净现金也为14.5元人民币。尽管有现金,但我们确实认为国机汽车有限公司的息税前利润增长率令人担忧,因此我们对该股并不特别满意。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。我们已经确定了国机汽车有限公司的4个警告信号(至少有1个不容忽视),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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