Is Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech (SZSE:002446) A Risky Investment?
Is Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech (SZSE:002446) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech. Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002446) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
David Iben說得很好,'波動性並非我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本永久損失。' 在考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致災難。我們注意到廣東盛露電信技術股份有限公司(深證交易所:002446)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但這筆債務是否令股東擔憂呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
當企業無法通過自由現金流或按優惠價格提高資本來輕鬆滿足這些債務時,負債和其他負債變得有風險。歸根到底,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,則股東可能一無所獲。但是,更頻繁(但同樣昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以加強其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是,公司合理地管理其債務,並用自己的利益來處理。在考慮公司的債務水平時的第一步是考慮其現金和債務的總和。
What Is Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech's Net Debt?
廣東盛露電信技術的淨債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech had CN¥317.1m of debt, an increase on CN¥207.9m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥943.1m in cash, so it actually has CN¥626.0m net cash.
您可以點擊下方的圖表查看歷史數據,但結果顯示截至2024年6月,廣東盛露電信技術的債務爲31710萬人民幣,比一年前的20790萬人民幣增加。然而,其資產負債表顯示它持有94310萬人民幣現金,因此實際上淨現金爲62600萬人民幣。
How Strong Is Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech's Balance Sheet?
廣東省際聯電信科技的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech had liabilities of CN¥810.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥222.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥943.1m and CN¥902.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥812.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表看到,廣東省際聯電信科技短期負債達到81040萬人民幣,長期負債22240萬人民幣。另一方面,它有94310萬人民幣的現金和90250萬人民幣的應收賬款將在一年內到期。所以它擁有81290萬人民幣的流動資產多於總負債。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這種短期流動性表明廣東省際聯電信科技可能可以輕鬆償還債務,因爲它的資產負債表遠未到極限。簡而言之,廣東省際聯電信科技擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
It is just as well that Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 76% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
幸好廣東省際聯電信科技的負債不太重,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去一年中下降了76%。在償還債務時,下降的盈利就像多糖飲料對你的健康一樣毫無用處。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定廣東省際聯電信科技是否能隨時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費報告,展示分析師的利潤預測。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech reported free cash flow worth 19% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
最後,一個企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不足夠。雖然廣東省際聯電信科技在資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍然值得關注其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它構建(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度。在過去三年中,廣東省際聯電信科技報告的自由現金流佔息稅前利潤的比例爲19%,這實際上相當低。對我們來說,這麼低的現金轉化率引發對其償債能力的一點擔憂。
Summing Up
總之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech has net cash of CN¥626.0m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech's debt use. Even though Guangdong Shenglu Telecommunication Tech lost money on the bottom line, its positive EBIT suggests the business itself has potential. So you might want to check out how earnings have been trending over the last few years.
儘管我們能理解投資者對債務感到擔憂,但你應該記住,廣東盛路通信科技擁有62600萬人民幣的淨現金,比負債更有流動資產。因此,我們對廣東盛路通信科技的債務使用並不擔憂。即使廣東盛路通信科技在底線上虧損,其正面的EBIt表明業務本身具有潛力。因此,您可能會想要查看過去幾年收益趨勢如何。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。
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