There wouldn't be many who think Harbin Jiuzhou Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300040) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.8x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 34x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Harbin Jiuzhou GroupLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Harbin Jiuzhou GroupLtd.
Is There Some Growth For Harbin Jiuzhou GroupLtd?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Harbin Jiuzhou GroupLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.7% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, lamentably EPS has fallen 6.5% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 17% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 19% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Harbin Jiuzhou GroupLtd's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Harbin Jiuzhou GroupLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Harbin Jiuzhou GroupLtd (2 are concerning!) that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Harbin Jiuzhou GroupLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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