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We Think Times Neighborhood Holdings' (HKG:9928) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

We Think Times Neighborhood Holdings' (HKG:9928) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

我們認爲時代地產集團(HKG:9928)的收益可能過於保守
Simply Wall St ·  10/02 18:30

Investors signalled that they were pleased with Times Neighborhood Holdings Limited's (HKG:9928) most recent earnings report. This reaction by the market reaction is understandable when looking at headline profits and we have found some further encouraging factors.

投資者表示對泰晤士鄰里控股有限公司(HKG:9928)最新的收益報告感到滿意。市場對此做出的反應是可以理解的,當看到頭條利潤時,我們找到了一些進一步的令人鼓舞的因素。

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SEHK:9928 Earnings and Revenue History October 2nd 2024
SEHK:9928 盈利和營業收入歷史數據 2024年10月2日

Examining Cashflow Against Times Neighborhood Holdings' Earnings

審查泰晤士鄰里控股公司現金流與其盈利情況

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高級金融領域,衡量公司將報告的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(從現金流量中)。簡而言之,此比率將FCF從淨利潤中扣除,然後將該數字除以該期間內公司的平均營運資產。這個比率告訴我們公司利潤中有多少不由自由現金流支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,當一家公司的應計比率變爲負數時,這實際上是一件好事,但如果應計比率是正數,則是一件壞事。雖然應計比率爲正數並不是問題,這表明一定程度的非現金利潤,但高應計比率被認爲是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤無法與現金流相匹配。值得注意的是,一些學術證據表明,高應計比率通常是近期利潤的一個不好的跡象。

For the year to June 2024, Times Neighborhood Holdings had an accrual ratio of -0.14. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥161m, well over the CN¥82.6m it reported in profit. Times Neighborhood Holdings did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.

截至2024年6月,泰晤士鄰里控股公司的應計比率爲-0.14。因此,其法定盈利遠遠低於其自由現金流。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲人民幣16100萬,遠遠超過其報告的盈利人民幣8260萬。泰晤士鄰里控股公司的自由現金流年度降低,這並不理想,就像一集沒有園丁威利的辛普森一樣。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Times Neighborhood Holdings.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。點擊這裏查看我們對泰晤士鄰里控股公司資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Times Neighborhood Holdings' Profit Performance

關於時代地產控股公司的盈利表現

Times Neighborhood Holdings' accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Times Neighborhood Holdings' earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And one can definitely find a positive in the fact that it made a profit this year, despite losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Times Neighborhood Holdings (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

時代地產控股公司的應計比率穩健,顯示出強勁的自由現金流,正如我們所討論的那樣,這意味着時代地產控股公司的盈利潛力至少與表面看起來一樣好,甚至可能更好!而且今年盈利,儘管去年虧損,這一事實確實有利之處。當然,我們只是初步分析了其盈利,也可以考慮毛利率、預測增長和投資回報率等其他因素。鑑於此,如果您想對該公司進行更多分析,了解相關風險至關重要。每家公司都存在風險,我們發現了時代地產控股公司的 3 個警示信號(其中有 1 個使我們有些不舒服!)應該知曉。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Times Neighborhood Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

今天,我們聚焦在一個單一數據點上,以更好地理解時代地產控股公司盈利性質。但如果您能聚焦於細枝末節,總會有更多發現。一些人認爲,股權回報率高是一個優質企業的良好跡象。因此,您可能希望查看這些具有高股權回報率的公司集合,或者這些持有高內部股份的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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