Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300641) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 36% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 339% gain over the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may consider Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry as a stock not worth researching with its 5.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry has been doing very well. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 33% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 39% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 22% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What Does Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
The fact that Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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