The Southwest Securities Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600369) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 37%. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 18% is also fairly reasonable.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 33x, you may consider Southwest Securities as a stock to avoid entirely with its 67.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Southwest Securities has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Southwest Securities' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Southwest Securities' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 23% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 63% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 22% per year during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 19% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Southwest Securities is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Southwest Securities' P/E?
Shares in Southwest Securities have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Southwest Securities' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Southwest Securities with six simple checks.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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