Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1260) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 33% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 30% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.7x, you may consider Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
How Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 36% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 5.3% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings (including 1 which is a bit concerning).
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.