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Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002085) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 2 19:04

Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel (SZSE:002085) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 21% over the last three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel is:

12% = CN¥1.1b ÷ CN¥9.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.12.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

To start with, Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 8.5% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Given the circumstances, we can't help but wonder why Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel saw little to no growth in the past five years. Therefore, there could be some other aspects that could potentially be preventing the company from growing. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

We then compared Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel's net income growth with the industry and found that the average industry growth rate was 9.9% in the same 5-year period.

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SZSE:002085 Past Earnings Growth October 2nd 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 002085 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 38% (meaning the company retains62% of profits) in the last three-year period, Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel's earnings growth was more or les flat. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Moreover, Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 61% over the next three years. However, Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel's future ROE is expected to rise to 15% despite the expected increase in the company's payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel has some positive attributes. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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