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Guangdong Haomei New Materials Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002988) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 3 09:12

Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd (SZSE:002988) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 17% over the last week. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd is:

9.0% = CN¥238m ÷ CN¥2.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.09.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd's Earnings Growth And 9.0% ROE

When you first look at it, Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.7%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Having said that, Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd's five year net income decline rate was 10%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

So, as a next step, we compared Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 10% over the last few years.

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SZSE:002988 Past Earnings Growth October 3rd 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 35% (where it is retaining 65% of its profits), Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

In addition, Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd has been paying dividends over a period of four years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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