Sany Heavy IndustryLtd (SHSE:600031) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 21% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Sany Heavy IndustryLtd's ROE.
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
The formula for ROE is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sany Heavy IndustryLtd is:
6.8% = CN¥4.7b ÷ CN¥70b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.07 in profit.
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
A Side By Side comparison of Sany Heavy IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 6.8% ROE
When you first look at it, Sany Heavy IndustryLtd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 7.0%, we may spare it some thought. Having said that, Sany Heavy IndustryLtd's five year net income decline rate was 23%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.
So, as a next step, we compared Sany Heavy IndustryLtd's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 8.7% over the last few years.
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The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is 600031 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 600031 is currently mispriced by the market.
Is Sany Heavy IndustryLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 32% (where it is retaining 68% of its profits), Sany Heavy IndustryLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.
Moreover, Sany Heavy IndustryLtd has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 34%. Still, forecasts suggest that Sany Heavy IndustryLtd's future ROE will rise to 11% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.
Conclusion
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Sany Heavy IndustryLtd can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.