Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Hangzhou Zhongheng Electric (SZSE:002364) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Five Years
Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Hangzhou Zhongheng Electric (SZSE:002364) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Five Years
It is doubtless a positive to see that the Hangzhou Zhongheng Electric Co., Ltd (SZSE:002364) share price has gained some 35% in the last three months. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 42% in that half decade.
毫无疑问,最近三个月,中恒电气股份有限公司(SZSE:002364)的股价上涨了约35%,这无疑是一个积极的迹象。但是如果您看过去五年,回报并不乐观。在这半个十年里,购买指数基金就会更好,因为股价下跌了42%。
On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥455m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.
更令人鼓舞的是,公司在过去7天内市值增加了45500万人民币,因此让我们看看是什么导致了股东五年的亏损。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
在他的文章《格雷厄姆-多德斯维尔的超级投资人》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股票价格并不总是理性地反映公司价值的情况。一种有缺陷但合理的评估公司情绪如何变化的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股票价格进行比较。
Hangzhou Zhongheng Electric became profitable within the last five years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.
在过去五年中,杭州中恒电气已盈利。这通常被认为是一个积极的迹象,所以看到股价下跌令我们感到惊讶。其他指标可能更好地解释股价波动。
We don't think that the 0.7% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 8.4% a year in the five year period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.
我们认为0.7%对股价影响不大,因为相对于分红而言,这个数额相当小。与股价相比,在过去五年中,营业收入实际上年均增长了8.4%。因此,似乎有必要更深入地了解基本面,以理解为什么股价停滞不前。毕竟,可能会有机会。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。

Take a more thorough look at Hangzhou Zhongheng Electric's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
通过这份关于杭州中恒电气资产负债表的免费报告,更全面地了解其财务状况。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Hangzhou Zhongheng Electric the TSR over the last 5 years was -40%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。而股价回报仅反映股价的变化,TSR包括股息价值(假设已再投资)以及任何折价资本增发或剥离的好处。可以说TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图片。我们注意到,过去5年中,对于杭州中恒电气来说TSR为-40%,这比上述股价回报要好。这在很大程度上是其分红支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
Hangzhou Zhongheng Electric shareholders are down 1.3% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 3.3%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 7% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hangzhou Zhongheng Electric (including 1 which is concerning) .
中恒电气股东们今年(即使包括分红派息在内)已经下跌了1.3%,但市场本身上涨了3.3%。即使好股票的股价有时会下跌,但在我们变得太感兴趣之前,我们希望看到企业基本业务指标的改善。然而,过去一年的亏损并不像投资者在过去半个十年中每年遭受的7%损失那么糟糕。在我们能够产生热情之前,我们需要看到关键指标的持续改善。虽然考虑市场状况对股价的影响是值得的,但有比这更重要的因素。为此,您应该了解一下我们发现的中恒电气的2个警示信号(其中1个令人担忧)。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果您像我一样,就不会希望错过这份免费的内部人士正在购买的低估小市值股票列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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