Despite an already strong run, Sichuan Etrol Technologies Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300370) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 34% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 20% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, Sichuan Etrol Technologies may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Sichuan Etrol Technologies Has Been Performing
It looks like revenue growth has deserted Sichuan Etrol Technologies recently, which is not something to boast about. Perhaps the market believes that revenue growth will improve markedly over current levels, inflating the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sichuan Etrol Technologies, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Sichuan Etrol Technologies' Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Sichuan Etrol Technologies' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with revenue down 29% overall from three years ago. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Sichuan Etrol Technologies' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Sichuan Etrol Technologies' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Sichuan Etrol Technologies currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Sichuan Etrol Technologies you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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