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Why Flowing Cloud Technology's (HKG:6610) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Flowing Cloud Technology's (HKG:6610) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

为什么飞天云动(6610.HKG)摇摇欲坠的收益只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  10/03 18:39

Flowing Cloud Technology Ltd's (HKG:6610) stock showed strength, with investors undeterred by its weak earnings report. Sometimes, shareholders are willing to ignore soft numbers with the hope that they will improve, but our analysis suggests this is unlikely for Flowing Cloud Technology.

飞天云动(临时代码)股票表现强劲,投资者并不受其疲弱的收益报告影响。有时候,股东愿意忽视不佳的数字,希望它们会改善,但我们的分析表明,对于飞天云动来说,这是不太可能的。

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SEHK:6610 Earnings and Revenue History October 3rd 2024
SEHK:6610 营业收入和收益历史 2024年10月3日

Examining Cashflow Against Flowing Cloud Technology's Earnings

审核现金流与飞天云动收益情况

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高金融领域,用来衡量一家公司如何将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的主要比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计比率从给定期间的自由现金流中减去利润,并将结果除以该公司在该期间内的平均营运资产。该比率显示了一家公司的利润超过其自由现金流的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负净应计比率对公司来说是一个积极的因素,而正净应计比率则是一个消极因素。虽然净应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们认为,当一个公司的净应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,高净应计比率通常是短期利润的一个不良迹象。

For the year to June 2024, Flowing Cloud Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.37. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥211.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥250m in the last year. We also note that Flowing Cloud Technology's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥250m.

截至2024年6月底,飞天云动的应计比率为0.37。从统计角度来看,这对未来收益来说是个真正的负面因素。事实上,在这段时间内,该公司根本没有产生任何自由现金流。尽管它报告了人民币21110万的利润,但从自由现金流的角度来看,它实际上在过去的一年中亏损了人民币25000万。我们还注意到飞天云动的自由现金流在去年也是负数,因此我们能理解如果股东因其流出的人民币25000万而感到困扰。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Flowing Cloud Technology.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。点击这里查看我们对飞天云动资产负债表的分析。

Our Take On Flowing Cloud Technology's Profit Performance

飞天云动利润表现分析

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Flowing Cloud Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Flowing Cloud Technology's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Flowing Cloud Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Flowing Cloud Technology.

正如我们所清楚表达的,我们有些担心飞天云动去年的利润并未得到自由现金流的支持。因此,我们认为飞天云动的潜在盈利能力可能低于其法定利润。但好消息是,过去三年其每股收益增长非常令人印象深刻。本文的目标是评估我们能否依赖法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多要考虑。如果您想更深入了解飞天云动,您还应该了解它目前面临的风险。为了帮助您,我们发现了2个警示信号(其中1个令人担忧!),在购买飞天云动的股票之前,您应该意识到这些风险。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Flowing Cloud Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

今天我们聚焦一个单一数据点,以更好地了解飞天云动的利润性质。但如果您有能力专注于细枝末节,总会有更多发现。一些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的良好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这个提供高ROE公司收集的合集,或者股权高的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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