Why Lvji Technology Holdings' (HKG:1745) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
Why Lvji Technology Holdings' (HKG:1745) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
After announcing healthy earnings, Lvji Technology Holdings Inc.'s (HKG:1745) stock rose over the last week. While the headline numbers were strong, we found some underlying problems once we started looking at what drove earnings.
在宣布业绩正常后,驴迹科技控股有限公司(HKG:1745)的股票在过去一周内上涨。虽然头条数字强劲,但一旦我们开始查看推动业绩的因素,我们发现了一些潜在问题。
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20241004/0-2dcc4a41db1c5fd46b7080b83c73aa35-0-68f839e1c0d2d73f59a61cdbb23640b1.png/big)
A Closer Look At Lvji Technology Holdings' Earnings
更详细地观察驴迹科技控股的收益
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
用于衡量公司将其盈利转换成自由现金流(FCF)的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。为了得出应计比率,我们首先从一个期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以期间的平均经营资产。这个比率告诉我们公司利润有多少不受自由现金流支持。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率则是消极的。这并不意味着我们应该担心正的应计比率,但值得注意的是应计比率相当高的地方。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往导致较低的利润或利润增长。
Over the twelve months to June 2024, Lvji Technology Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.40. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥146.0m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥112m in the last year. We also note that Lvji Technology Holdings' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥112m. Notably, the company has issued new shares, thus diluting existing shareholders and reducing their share of future earnings.
在2024年6月的十二个月内,驴迹科技控股的核算比率为0.40。一般来说,这对未来的盈利前景不利。事实上,在那段时间内,该公司并未产生任何自由现金流。尽管报告了1.46亿元人民币的利润,但从自由现金流数据来看,公司实际上在过去一年里流出了1.12亿元人民币。我们还注意到,驴迹科技控股的自由现金流去年实际上也是负的,因此可以理解股东对其11.2亿元人民币的流出感到担忧。值得注意的是,该公司发行了新股,从而稀释了现有股东的持股比例并减少了他们未来收益的份额。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Lvji Technology Holdings.
注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。单击这里查看我们对驴迹科技控股资产负债表分析。
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, Lvji Technology Holdings issued 7.1% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. You can see a chart of Lvji Technology Holdings' EPS by clicking here.
要理解一家公司盈利增长的价值,必须考虑股东权益的稀释。事实上,驴迹科技(临时代码)在过去一年内发行了7.1%的新增股,这意味着其盈利被分配给更多的股东。庆祝净利润而忽视稀释,就像因为你有一块更大比萨饼的一个切片而感到高兴,却忽略了比萨饼被切成更多块这个事实。您可以点击这里查看驴迹科技(临时代码)的每股收益图表。
A Look At The Impact Of Lvji Technology Holdings' Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
看看驴迹科技(临时代码)的稀释对其每股收益(EPS)的影响
Three years ago, Lvji Technology Holdings lost money. The good news is that profit was up 133% in the last twelve months. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 116% over the same period. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.
三年前,驴迹科技(临时代码)亏损。好消息是,过去十二个月里利润增长了133%。另一方面,同期每股收益仅增长了116%。因此可以看出稀释对股东产生了一定影响。
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Lvji Technology Holdings shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
长期来看,股价的变动确实反映了每股收益的变化。因此,驴迹科技(临时代码)的股东希望看到每股收益继续增加。然而,如果其利润增长而每股收益保持不变(甚至下降),那么股东可能看不到太多好处。出于这个原因,可以说每股收益在长期看来比净利润更为重要,假设目标是评估公司股价是否会增长。
Our Take On Lvji Technology Holdings' Profit Performance
我们对驴迹科技(临时代码)的盈利表现的看法
In conclusion, Lvji Technology Holdings has weak cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates lower quality earnings, and the dilution means its earnings per share growth is weaker than its profit growth. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Lvji Technology Holdings' statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you want to do dive deeper into Lvji Technology Holdings, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Be aware that Lvji Technology Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
总之,相对于盈利,驴迹科技(临时代码)的现金流较弱,这表明盈利质量较低,而稀释意味着其每股收益增长低于其利润增长。基于上述原因,我们认为仅仅匆匆看过驴迹科技(临时代码)的法定利润可能使其看起来比实际情况要好。如果您希望深入了解驴迹科技(临时代码),您还应该研究一下目前面临的风险。请注意,我们的投资分析显示驴迹科技(临时代码)表现出3个警示信号,其中1个对我们来说并不太让人满意...
Our examination of Lvji Technology Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
我们对驴迹科技(临时代码)控股的审查侧重于一些因素,这些因素可能使其收益看起来比实际情况更好。基于这一点,我们有些持怀疑态度。但如果您能将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多新发现。例如,许多人认为股东权益回报率高是有利的商业经济迹象,而另一些人则喜欢“追踪资金”并寻找内部人员正在购买的股票。因此,您可能希望查看这个自由收集的公司,这些公司夸耀着高股东权益回报率,或者查看这个拥有高内部持股的股票清单。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。