We Think That There Are Some Issues For Qianhai Health Holdings (HKG:911) Beyond Its Promising Earnings
We Think That There Are Some Issues For Qianhai Health Holdings (HKG:911) Beyond Its Promising Earnings
The recent earnings posted by Qianhai Health Holdings Limited (HKG:911) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.
前海健康控股有限公司(HKG:911)最近公布的收益表现稳健,但股价并没有如我们预期的那样大幅波动。我们认为股东已经注意到了除了法定利润数字之外的一些令人担忧的因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Qianhai Health Holdings' Earnings
分析前海健康控股的现金流与收益的关系
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
在高端金融中,用于衡量公司如何将报告的利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(从现金流量表中)。简单地说,该比率将FCF减去净利润,然后将该数字除以该期间公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们展示了公司利润超过FCF的程度。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
这意味着负面预提比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司所获得的自由现金流比其利润所示的要多。这并不意味着我们应该担心正面的预提比率,但值得注意的是,如果预提比率很高的话就要考虑这个问题。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇论文:“预提较高的公司未来的盈利能力较低”。
For the year to June 2024, Qianhai Health Holdings had an accrual ratio of 0.28. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of HK$24m despite its profit of HK$75.0m, mentioned above. We also note that Qianhai Health Holdings' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of HK$24m. One positive for Qianhai Health Holdings shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
截至2024年6月的一年间,前海健康控股的应计比率为0.28。因此,我们可以推断其自由现金流远不足以覆盖其法定利润。在过去的12个月中,尽管其7500万港元的盈利如上所述,实际上自由现金流是负的,流出了2400万港元。我们还注意到,前海健康控股去年的自由现金流也是负的,因此可以理解股东是否因其2400万港元的流出而感到困扰。前海健康控股股东的一个积极因素是,其应计比率去年明显更好,提供了理由相信未来可能恢复更强的现金转换。如果确实如此,股东应该寻找当前年份相对于利润改善的现金流。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Qianhai Health Holdings.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。单击这里查看我们对前海健康控股资产负债表的分析。
Our Take On Qianhai Health Holdings' Profit Performance
关于前海健康控股利润表现的看法
Qianhai Health Holdings' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Qianhai Health Holdings' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Be aware that Qianhai Health Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those make us uncomfortable...
前海健康控股过去十二个月的应计比率表明现金转换不理想,这在我们看来是其收益的负面因素。因此,我们认为前海健康控股的法定盈利可能比其潜在收益能力更好。好消息是,该公司今年盈利,而去年亏损。最终,要充分了解公司,必须考虑不仅仅是上述因素。因此,如果您想深入了解这只股票,就必须考虑它面临的任何风险。请注意,根据我们的投资分析,前海健康控股出现了3个警示信号,其中有2个让我们感到不安...
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Qianhai Health Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
本说明仅考虑了一个揭示前海健康控股利润性质的因素。但是,如果您能够专注于细微之处,总会有更多发现。一些人认为高净资产回报率是优质公司的良好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这些拥有高净资产回报率的公司的自由收藏,或者这些持有高内部人士所有权的股票清单。
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