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Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology Co., Ltd's (SZSE:003009) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

陕西中天火箭技术股份有限公司(SZSE:003009)の株価がリスクを示す可能性があります

Simply Wall St ·  10/03 19:42

Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology Co., Ltd's (SZSE:003009) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 79.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 33x and even P/E's below 20x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

For instance, Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

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SZSE:003009 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 3rd 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 8.1% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 42% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology's P/E?

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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