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We Think That There Are Some Issues For Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group (HKG:6989) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

We Think That There Are Some Issues For Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group (HKG:6989) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

我们认为卓越商业地产及设备管理集团(HKG:6989)除了有可观的收入外,可能存在一些问题。
Simply Wall St ·  10/04 18:45

The market for Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group Limited's (HKG:6989) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week. Despite this, our analysis suggests that there are some factors weakening the foundations of those good profit numbers.

上周发布了健康的收入报告后,卓越商业地产及设施管理集团有限公司(HKG:6989)股票市场表现强劲。尽管如此,我们的分析表明有一些因素削弱了这些良好的利润数字的基础。

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SEHK:6989 Earnings and Revenue History October 4th 2024
SEHK:6989 盈利和营业收入历史 2024年10月4日

A Closer Look At Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group's Earnings

深入看一看卓越商业地产及设施管理集团的盈利情况

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融领域,用于衡量公司将其报告利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是从现金流量中计算的应计率。简单点来说,这个比率从净利润中减去自由现金流,然后将这个数字除以公司在那段时间内的平均营业资产。从现金流来看,你可以把它看作是“非FCF利润率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,当公司的应计负债比率为负时,实际上是一件好事,但如果其应计负债比率为正,那就是一件坏事。虽然应计负债比率为正不是问题,表明某种程度的非现金利润,但高应计负债比率可以说是一件坏事,因为这表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。因为一些学术研究表明,高应计负债比率往往导致利润较低或利润增长较少。

For the year to June 2024, Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group had an accrual ratio of 0.57. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥302.8m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥693m in the last year. We also note that Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥693m.

截至2024年6月,卓越商业地产及设施管理集团的计提比率为0.57。一般来说,这对未来的盈利能力不利。也就是说,该公司在那段时间内没有产生任何自由现金流。尽管它报告了30280万人民币的利润,但自由现金流的情况显示,它实际上在过去一年中亏损了69300万人民币。我们还注意到,卓越商业地产及设施管理集团的自由现金流在去年实际上也是负的,因此我们能理解股东对其69300万人民币的流出感到担忧。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group.

注:我们一直建议投资者核查资产负债表的实力。点击这里查看我们对卓越商业地产及设施管理集团资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group's Profit Performance

我们对卓越商业地产与设施管理集团的利润表现发表看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But at least holders can take some solace from the 15% EPS growth in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

正如我们已经明确表明,我们有些担心卓越商业地产与设施管理集团没有用自由现金流支撑去年的利润。因此,我们认为卓越商业地产与设施管理集团的 statutory profits 可能不是其潜在盈利能力的良好指标,并可能让投资者对公司产生过多正面印象。但至少股东们可以从去年的15% EPS增长中获得一些安慰。当然,在分析其收益方面,我们只是刚刚触及皮毛;人们还可以考虑毛利、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。如果您想了解更多关于卓越商业地产与设施管理集团作为一个业务的信息,重要的是要了解它面临的任何风险。每家公司都存在风险,我们发现了卓越商业地产与设施管理集团的3个警告信号(其中有2个有点不好!)您应该知道。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Excellence Commercial Property & Facilities Management Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天,我们把焦点放在一个单一的数据点上,以更好地了解卓越商业地产与设施管理集团的利润性质。但有很多其他方法可以帮助您评估一家公司。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率表明良好的商业经济状况,而其他人则喜欢“追踪资金”并寻找内部人员正在购买的股票。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这个免费收藏的公司名单中拥有高股本回报率,或者这份持有重要内部持股的股票列表会很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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