Cherish Sunshine International Limited (HKG:1094) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.9% isn't as attractive.
Although its price has surged higher, considering around half the companies operating in Hong Kong's IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1x, you may still consider Cherish Sunshine International as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
How Has Cherish Sunshine International Performed Recently?
Cherish Sunshine International certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Cherish Sunshine International's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Cherish Sunshine International?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Cherish Sunshine International would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 188% gain to the company's top line. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 15% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it odd that Cherish Sunshine International is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Cherish Sunshine International's P/S close to the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We're very surprised to see Cherish Sunshine International currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Cherish Sunshine International (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Cherish Sunshine International, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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