These 4 Measures Indicate That ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology (SZSE:002831) Is Using Debt Safely
These 4 Measures Indicate That ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology (SZSE:002831) Is Using Debt Safely
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002831) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
霍華德·馬克斯在談到股價波動時說得很好,而不是擔心股價波動,他表示'永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險……我認識的每個實際投資者都在擔心這個。因此,明智的投資者明白負債 - 通常與破產有關 - 是評估公司風險程度時非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,裕同科技股份有限公司(SZSE:002831)也在使用債務。但股東們應該擔心它使用債務嗎?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
通常情況下,當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資金還是通過自身現金流。資本主義的本質是「創新破壞」,這意味着破產的企業將被銀行家無情地清算。雖然這種情況不太常見,但我們經常看到有負債的公司由於貸款人強制以低價籌集資本而出現永久性股權稀釋的情況。當然,許多公司使用債務資金以促進其業務增長,而無需承受任何負面後果。考慮到一家公司的債務水平,第一步是將其現金和債務結合起來。
How Much Debt Does ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Carry?
裕同科技負債多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology had CN¥5.29b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥4.50b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥792.8m.
下面的圖表顯示,截至2024年6月,裕同科技負債爲52.9億元人民幣,與前年相當。然而,由於其現金儲備爲45億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲79280萬元人民幣。
A Look At ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology's Liabilities
對裕同科技的負債情況進行分析
According to the last reported balance sheet, ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology had liabilities of CN¥8.63b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.56b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.50b as well as receivables valued at CN¥5.03b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥653.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
根據最近披露的資產負債表,裕同科技的負債中,有863億人民幣在12個月內到期,156億人民幣在12個月後到期。 抵消這些債務的是,它擁有450億人民幣的現金以及503億人民幣的應收款項,在12個月內到期。 因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收款項的總和高出65330萬人民幣。
Given ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥23.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
鑑於裕同科技的市值爲235億人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成重大威脅。 但有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東繼續監控資產負債表。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
我們使用兩個主要的比率來告訴我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是其利潤前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用的次數(或其利息覆蓋率,簡稱)。因此,我們考慮與折舊和攤銷費用相關的盈利以及沒有相關費用的盈利相對於債務水平。
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology's net debt is only 0.31 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 25.8 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. The good news is that ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology has increased its EBIT by 8.9% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
裕同科技的淨債務僅爲其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的0.31倍。其EBIT輕鬆覆蓋了利息支出,爲其利息支出的25.8倍。 所以我們對其超保守的債務使用感到很放心。 令人高興的消息是,裕同科技過去12個月內的EBIT增長了8.9%,這應該能夠緩解對債務償還的任何擔憂。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。 但最終業務未來的盈利能力將決定裕同科技是否能夠隨時增強其資產負債表。 因此,如果你專注於未來,可以查看這份提供分析師盈利預測的免費報告。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 84% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
最後,業務需要有自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不足夠。 因此,邏輯的下一步是看看EBIT中有多少與實際自由現金流相匹配。 在過去三年中,裕同科技錄得的自由現金流相當於其EBIT的豐厚84%,這比我們通常預期的要強。 這使其處於一個非常有利的位置,可以償還債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Overall, we don't think ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology .
裕同科技的利息覆蓋表明它可以像Cristiano Ronaldo對付14歲以下守門員一樣輕鬆地處理債務。而好消息並不止於此,因爲其將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的能力也支持這一印象!總的來說,我們認爲裕同科技沒有承擔任何不良風險,因爲其債務負擔似乎很適中。所以我們對資產負債表上的一點點槓桿使用並不擔心。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解到大部分關於債務的信息。但最終,每家公司都可能承擔資產負債表之外存在的風險。爲此,您應該意識到我們在裕同科技發現的1個警告信號。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。
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