Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (NASDAQ:LSCC) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 33% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, Lattice Semiconductor's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.5x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 18x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Lattice Semiconductor as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Lattice Semiconductor's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Enough Growth For Lattice Semiconductor?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Lattice Semiconductor would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.4%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 171% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.0% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's alarming that Lattice Semiconductor's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Lattice Semiconductor's P/E
Shares in Lattice Semiconductor have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Lattice Semiconductor's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Lattice Semiconductor with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If you're unsure about the strength of Lattice Semiconductor's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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