With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.7x Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited (SZSE:000625) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 34x and even P/E's higher than 64x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Chongqing Changan Automobile has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
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Is There Any Growth For Chongqing Changan Automobile?
Chongqing Changan Automobile's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 33%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 158% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 6.8% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 19% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Chongqing Changan Automobile is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Chongqing Changan Automobile's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Chongqing Changan Automobile you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Chongqing Changan Automobile, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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