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Optimistic Investors Push Hangzhou Shenhao Technology Co.,LTD. (SZSE:300853) Shares Up 35% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 6, 2024 17:28

Hangzhou Shenhao Technology Co.,LTD. (SZSE:300853) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 35% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 36% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, Hangzhou Shenhao TechnologyLTD may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.5x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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SZSE:300853 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 7th 2024

How Hangzhou Shenhao TechnologyLTD Has Been Performing

For instance, Hangzhou Shenhao TechnologyLTD's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hangzhou Shenhao TechnologyLTD's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Hangzhou Shenhao TechnologyLTD's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hangzhou Shenhao TechnologyLTD would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 54% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 70% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Hangzhou Shenhao TechnologyLTD's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Hangzhou Shenhao TechnologyLTD's P/S?

Hangzhou Shenhao TechnologyLTD's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Hangzhou Shenhao TechnologyLTD revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Hangzhou Shenhao TechnologyLTD that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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