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What China Best Group Holding Limited's (HKG:370) 50% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 7 18:10

Despite an already strong run, China Best Group Holding Limited (HKG:370) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 50% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 43% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking China Best Group Holding is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.3x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Retail Distributors industry have P/S ratios below 0.7x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SEHK:370 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 7th 2024

How Has China Best Group Holding Performed Recently?

For example, consider that China Best Group Holding's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China Best Group Holding will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is China Best Group Holding's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as China Best Group Holding's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 57% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 77% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 28% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that China Best Group Holding's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does China Best Group Holding's P/S Mean For Investors?

The large bounce in China Best Group Holding's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of China Best Group Holding revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for China Best Group Holding (2 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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