share_log

Subdued Growth No Barrier To I-CABLE Communications Limited (HKG:1097) With Shares Advancing 52%

Simply Wall St ·  18:04

i-CABLE Communications Limited (HKG:1097) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 52% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.3% over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about i-CABLE Communications' P/S ratio of 0.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Media industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

big
SEHK:1097 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 7th 2024

What Does i-CABLE Communications' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at i-CABLE Communications over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for i-CABLE Communications, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is i-CABLE Communications' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, i-CABLE Communications would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.4% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 41% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 5.7% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that i-CABLE Communications' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From i-CABLE Communications' P/S?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now i-CABLE Communications' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look at i-CABLE Communications revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for i-CABLE Communications (3 are a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment