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CITIC Resources Holdings Limited (HKG:1205) Surges 44% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 7 18:17

CITIC Resources Holdings Limited (HKG:1205) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 44% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 51%.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 11x, you may still consider CITIC Resources Holdings as an attractive investment with its 7.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at CITIC Resources Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

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SEHK:1205 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 7th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on CITIC Resources Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For CITIC Resources Holdings?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like CITIC Resources Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 37%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 5.5% overall rise in EPS. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that CITIC Resources Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Despite CITIC Resources Holdings' shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that CITIC Resources Holdings maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - CITIC Resources Holdings has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on CITIC Resources Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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