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Is Prinx Chengshan Holdings (HKG:1809) Using Too Much Debt?

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 7 20:29

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Prinx Chengshan Holdings Limited (HKG:1809) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Prinx Chengshan Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Prinx Chengshan Holdings had CN¥868.8m of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥1.77b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥432.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥436.0m.

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SEHK:1809 Debt to Equity History October 8th 2024

How Strong Is Prinx Chengshan Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Prinx Chengshan Holdings had liabilities of CN¥4.05b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥521.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥432.7m and CN¥2.52b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.62b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Prinx Chengshan Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥5.25b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Prinx Chengshan Holdings has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.20. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 29.4 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Even more impressive was the fact that Prinx Chengshan Holdings grew its EBIT by 188% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Prinx Chengshan Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Prinx Chengshan Holdings's free cash flow amounted to 37% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

The good news is that Prinx Chengshan Holdings's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Prinx Chengshan Holdings is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Prinx Chengshan Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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