Will Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603501) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 38% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 20% is also fairly reasonable.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Will Semiconductor's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Semiconductor industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 6.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Will Semiconductor's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been advantageous for Will Semiconductor as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
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What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Will Semiconductor would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 36% last year. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 40% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Will Semiconductor is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Will Semiconductor appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Given that Will Semiconductor's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Will Semiconductor with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If you're unsure about the strength of Will Semiconductor's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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