The Tsinghua Tongfang Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600100) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 41%. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 8.7% over the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, Tsinghua Tongfang may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Tech industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
How Has Tsinghua Tongfang Performed Recently?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Tsinghua Tongfang's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Tsinghua Tongfang.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Tsinghua Tongfang?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Tsinghua Tongfang's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.8%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 16% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 25% over the next year. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 15%.
With this information, we are not surprised that Tsinghua Tongfang is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Tsinghua Tongfang's P/S
Tsinghua Tongfang's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Tsinghua Tongfang's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Tsinghua Tongfang with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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