Dingli Corp., Ltd. (SZSE:300050) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 51% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 27%.
Following the firm bounce in price, Dingli may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 10.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Communications industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.7x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Dingli's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Dingli over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Dingli will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Dingli's Revenue Growth Trending?
Dingli's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.5%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 52% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 42% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Dingli's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Dingli's P/S Mean For Investors?
Dingli's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Dingli currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Dingli that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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