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Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300044) 49% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 9, 2024 06:51

Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300044) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 49% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 19% is also fairly reasonable.

Following the firm bounce in price, Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 10.3x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the IT industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4.3x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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SZSE:300044 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

What Does Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. Still, revenue has fallen 68% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 20% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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