Hangzhou Xili Intelligent Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:688616) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 36% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 2.9% over the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 34x, you may still consider Hangzhou Xili Intelligent TechnologyLtd as an attractive investment with its 20.4x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Hangzhou Xili Intelligent TechnologyLtd as its earnings have been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hangzhou Xili Intelligent TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Growth For Hangzhou Xili Intelligent TechnologyLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Hangzhou Xili Intelligent TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 57% last year. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 37% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that Hangzhou Xili Intelligent TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.
What We Can Learn From Hangzhou Xili Intelligent TechnologyLtd's P/E?
Despite Hangzhou Xili Intelligent TechnologyLtd's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Hangzhou Xili Intelligent TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hangzhou Xili Intelligent TechnologyLtd you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Hangzhou Xili Intelligent TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.