Tianjin Chase Sun Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300026) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 39% share price jump in the last month. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
After such a large jump in price, Tianjin Chase Sun PharmaceuticalLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 43.4x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 33x and even P/E's below 20x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Tianjin Chase Sun PharmaceuticalLtd has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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Is There Enough Growth For Tianjin Chase Sun PharmaceuticalLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Tianjin Chase Sun PharmaceuticalLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 51%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 55% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 29% per year as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Tianjin Chase Sun PharmaceuticalLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Tianjin Chase Sun PharmaceuticalLtd shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Tianjin Chase Sun PharmaceuticalLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Tianjin Chase Sun PharmaceuticalLtd that we have uncovered.
You might be able to find a better investment than Tianjin Chase Sun PharmaceuticalLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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