Jiangsu Tongguang Electronic Wire & Cable Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300265) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 44% gain and recovering from prior weakness. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Following the firm bounce in price, Jiangsu Tongguang Electronic Wire & Cable may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 54.2x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 33x and even P/E's lower than 20x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For example, consider that Jiangsu Tongguang Electronic Wire & Cable's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangsu Tongguang Electronic Wire & Cable's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Jiangsu Tongguang Electronic Wire & Cable's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Jiangsu Tongguang Electronic Wire & Cable's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 39%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 37% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangsu Tongguang Electronic Wire & Cable is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Tongguang Electronic Wire & Cable's P/E?
The strong share price surge has got Jiangsu Tongguang Electronic Wire & Cable's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Jiangsu Tongguang Electronic Wire & Cable currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Jiangsu Tongguang Electronic Wire & Cable (1 is significant!) that we have uncovered.
You might be able to find a better investment than Jiangsu Tongguang Electronic Wire & Cable. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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