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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Tong Petrotech Corp. (SZSE:300164) With Shares Advancing 53%

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 8 19:05

The Tong Petrotech Corp. (SZSE:300164) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 53%. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 2.7% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Tong Petrotech's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Energy Services industry is similar at about 2.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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SZSE:300164 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

How Tong Petrotech Has Been Performing

Tong Petrotech has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Tong Petrotech's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Tong Petrotech's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.1% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 62% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Tong Petrotech's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Tong Petrotech appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Tong Petrotech's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Tong Petrotech you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Tong Petrotech's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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