The Chengdu Yunda Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300440) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 45%. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 2.1% isn't as attractive.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Chengdu Yunda Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 34x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Chengdu Yunda Technology certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Chengdu Yunda Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Does Growth Match The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Chengdu Yunda Technology's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 254% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 23% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 37% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Chengdu Yunda Technology's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Chengdu Yunda Technology's P/E is also back up to the market median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Chengdu Yunda Technology currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Chengdu Yunda Technology (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Chengdu Yunda Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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