Shenzhen Jame Technology Corp., Ltd. (SZSE:300868) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 45% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 14% is also fairly reasonable.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Tech industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3x, you may consider Shenzhen Jame Technology as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Shenzhen Jame Technology Performed Recently?
Shenzhen Jame Technology certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Jame Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Shenzhen Jame Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 43% last year. As a result, it also grew revenue by 12% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 15% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen Jame Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Shenzhen Jame Technology shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Shenzhen Jame Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Jame Technology that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.