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There's Reason For Concern Over Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301217) Massive 38% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 9, 2024 07:48

Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301217) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 38% after a shaky period beforehand. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 2.4% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.5x, considering almost half the companies in China's Metals and Mining industry have P/S ratios below 1.4x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SZSE:301217 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

What Does Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 12% gain to the company's revenues. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 22% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 11% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 13% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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