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Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300553) Stock Rockets 47% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 9, 2024 07:47

Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300553) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 47% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 42% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SZSE:300553 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

What Does Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic?

Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 18%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 13% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Shares in Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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