The Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300478) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 38%. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.9% over the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may consider Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
SZSE:300478 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024
How Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. It might be that many are expecting an improvement to the uninspiring revenue performance over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with revenue down 1.2% overall from three years ago. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?
Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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