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There's Reason For Concern Over Sichuan Joyou Digital Technologies Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301172) Massive 51% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 9, 2024 08:01

Sichuan Joyou Digital Technologies Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301172) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 51% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 2.5% over the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, Sichuan Joyou Digital TechnologiesLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the IT industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4.3x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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SZSE:301172 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 9th 2024

What Does Sichuan Joyou Digital TechnologiesLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Sichuan Joyou Digital TechnologiesLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Sichuan Joyou Digital TechnologiesLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Sichuan Joyou Digital TechnologiesLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.3%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 5.1% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Sichuan Joyou Digital TechnologiesLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Sichuan Joyou Digital TechnologiesLtd's P/S?

Shares in Sichuan Joyou Digital TechnologiesLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that Sichuan Joyou Digital TechnologiesLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Sichuan Joyou Digital TechnologiesLtd (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Sichuan Joyou Digital TechnologiesLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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