Jiangsu Teeyer Intelligent Equipment Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603273) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 39% after a shaky period beforehand. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Jiangsu Teeyer Intelligent EquipmentLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Machinery industry have P/S ratios below 2.8x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Jiangsu Teeyer Intelligent EquipmentLtd Has Been Performing
For instance, Jiangsu Teeyer Intelligent EquipmentLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jiangsu Teeyer Intelligent EquipmentLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jiangsu Teeyer Intelligent EquipmentLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 14%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 11% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangsu Teeyer Intelligent EquipmentLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Teeyer Intelligent EquipmentLtd's P/S?
Shares in Jiangsu Teeyer Intelligent EquipmentLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Jiangsu Teeyer Intelligent EquipmentLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Teeyer Intelligent EquipmentLtd that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.