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Improved Earnings Required Before Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603527) Stock's 37% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 8 19:58

The Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603527) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 37%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 12% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 34x, you may still consider Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials as an attractive investment with its 26.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

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SHSE:603527 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials' Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 30% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 8.6% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 37% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's understandable that Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

Despite Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials' shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

You might be able to find a better investment than Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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