Hefei Kewell Power System Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688551) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 51% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 27% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 34x and even P/E's above 64x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been pleasing for Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.2% gain to the company's bottom line. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 58% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 35% each year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Despite Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.