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What Sinocelltech Group Limited's (SHSE:688520) 44% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

シノセルテック・グループ・リミテッド(SHSE:688520)の株価急騰44%はあなたに語っていないこと

Simply Wall St ·  10/08 20:29

Sinocelltech Group Limited (SHSE:688520) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 44% after a shaky period beforehand. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.3% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Sinocelltech Group is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 8.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Biotechs industry have P/S ratios below 7x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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SHSE:688520 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 9th 2024

How Sinocelltech Group Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Sinocelltech Group has been doing relatively well. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Sinocelltech Group.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Sinocelltech Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 64%. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 30% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 230% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Sinocelltech Group's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

The large bounce in Sinocelltech Group's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've concluded that Sinocelltech Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Sinocelltech Group (at least 2 which are potentially serious), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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