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There's Reason For Concern Over AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300877) Massive 38% Price Jump

安徽锦纯无纺股份有限公司(SZSE:300877)の株価が驚異的な38%急騰したことについて懸念すべき理由があります

Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/09 08:27

AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300877) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 38% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 16% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Luxury industry is similar at about 1.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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SZSE:300877 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 9th 2024

How Has AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven Performed Recently?

The revenue growth achieved at AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 16% gain to the company's top line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 1.2% drop in revenue in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 15% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven's P/S?

AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look at AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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