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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300731) After Shares Rise 38%

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 8 20:44

Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300731) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 38% share price jump in the last month. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.2% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may consider Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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SZSE:300731 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 9th 2024

How Has Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd Performed Recently?

Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 33% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 55% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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